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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (^USDJPY)

144.486 -0.441 (-0.30%) 07/04/25 [FOREX]
144.468 x N/A 144.498 x N/A
underlying price ()
Overview for Fri, Jul 4th, 2025
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Day Low
144.185
Day High
144.970
Open 144.927
Previous Close 144.927 144.927
YTD High 158.872 158.872
YTD Low 139.890 139.890
Stochastic %K 31.31% 31.31%
Weighted Alpha -9.00 -9.00
5-Day Change -0.171 (-0.12%) -0.171 (-0.12%)
52-Week Range 139.581 - 161.805 139.581 - 161.805
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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Moves Higher on Stronger-Than-Expected US Payroll Report

The dollar index (DXY00) on Thursday rose by +0.42%.  The dollar rallied after the stronger-than-expected US payroll report of +147,000 suggested continued strength in the US economy. The dollar also saw support from improved interest rate differentials, with the 10-year T-note moving higher by +7 bp. The dollar also had support as the market cut the chances of a Fed rate cut at the upcoming July 29-30 meeting to 5% from 23% on Wednesday.

By contrast, the dollar was undercut by reduced safe-haven demand with Thursday's rally in stocks.  Also, the US trade deficit report was mildly bearish for the dollar. 

The May US trade deficit of -$71.5 billion was slightly larger than expectations of -$71.0 billion, and was up from April's revised -$60.3 billion deficit. May exports fell -4.0% m/m.  May imports fell -0.1% m/m, adding to April's -16.3% plunge.

The House passed the Senate's reconciliation bill on Thursday afternoon, sending it to President Trump for his signature... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 24, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
239,744 (-3,344)
92,034 (-2,881)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
46,126 (+1,402)
178,403 (+2,802)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
221,813 (-2,626)
5,506 (-1,738)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
24,632 (-1,734)
116,393 (-3,068)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
28,981 (+1,051)
48,739 (+3,026)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
5,128 (+825)
94,483 (+1,159)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
142.541 +1.36%
on 06/05/25
Period Open: 142.778
148.019 -2.39%
on 06/23/25
+1.708 (+1.20%)
since 06/04/25
3-Month
139.890 +3.29%
on 04/22/25
Period Open: 146.962
148.649 -2.80%
on 05/12/25
-2.476 (-1.68%)
since 04/04/25
52-Week
139.581 +3.51%
on 09/16/24
Period Open: 161.270
161.805 -10.70%
on 07/10/24
-16.784 (-10.41%)
since 07/04/24

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 145.694
2nd Resistance Point 145.332
1st Resistance Point 144.909
Last Price 144.486
1st Support Level 144.124
2nd Support Level 143.762
3rd Support Level 143.339

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52-Week High 161.805
Fibonacci 61.8% 153.315
Fibonacci 50% 150.693
Fibonacci 38.2% 148.071
Last Price 144.486
52-Week Low 139.581

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